Growth of the Osprey Pandion haliaetus population

in the Orleans Forest 1984 - 2005

data collected by "les Naturalistes Orleanais" 1985 - 1994, and by Rolf Wahl from 1995 unwards

graphs made by Ruud Kampf

no use without permission!

(E-mail: rowahl@rekel.nl)


2005

occupied nests

succesful

nr of young

nr of young per nest

nr of young per succesful nest

total young produced

Orleans forest

20

12

30

1.5

2.5

221

Chambord

7

5

11

1.6

2.2

48

Essonne

1 1 3 3.0 3.0 3

grand total

28

18

44

1.6 2.44 272

The nest in Esonne was a new "starters colony" in 2005,


no use without permission!

The number of breeding pairs is still growing, in 2005 with three "colonies"

no use without permission!
  The number of succesful nests --- > nests with a fledged young birds
no use without permission!
  The number of young per year
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From 1985 to 2005 a total number of 272 young has fledged.

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no use without permission!

This fit of the number of occupied nests shows that the population still grows with an exponential rate, partially because of the influx of birds from the German population.

The equation of the fitted model is:

 Year_nests = exp(-314.228 + 0.15818*select(year,colony=1))

Since the P-value in the ANOVA table is less than 0.01, there is a statistically significant relationship at a 99% confidence level.
lThe correlation coefficient equals 0.976366, indicating a relatively strong relationship between the variables. The standard error of the estimate shows the standard

 

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The breeding success  is still good


The spacial development of the population in the Orleans forest from 1990

1990.jpg (4892 bytes) 1991.jpg (5146 bytes)
1992.jpg (4873 bytes) 1993.jpg (5090 bytes)
1994.jpg (5223 bytes) 1995.jpg (5448 bytes)
1996.jpg (5422 bytes) 1997.jpg (5533 bytes)
1998.jpg (5453 bytes) 1999.jpg (5438 bytes)
2000.jpg (5784 bytes) 2001.jpg (7030 bytes)
2002.jpg (7017 bytes)

2003.jpg (7373 bytes)

The area on the graphs covers 30 km times 40 km in the Orleans forest


With many thanks to Rolf Wahl, specialist on Ospreys in the Orleans Forest for the hospitality and company

When you find any information on Ospreys with colored rings in France, please contact Rolf Wahl

(E-mail:rowahl@rekel.nl)


back to the Osprey index page of Ruud Kampf

Home page Ruud en Kitty Kampf

Email: ruud@rekel.nl